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Richard Dion

Economic Analyst and Forecasting Advisor

Senior Business Advisor

Serge Dupont

Senior Advisor at Bennett Jones Ottawa

Senior Advisor

The global and Canadian economies are still adjusting to the shocks of COVID and war. Inflation remains elevated, and monetary conditions are restrictive. There are legacies, in particular high public and private debt.
Concurrently, the forces of demographic ageing, climate change, and digitalization are intensifying in a new fragmented world, transforming our economies, and requiring more public and private investment. These two factors—short-term adjustment and structural change—set the background for our 2024 Economic Outlook.

2024 Economic Outlook The LongTerm Is Now

2024 Economic Outlook: The Long-Term Is Now

For the last three years, governments, businesses and workers have confronted a series of shocks and disruptions that have tested their agility and resilience. The pandemic, the war in Ukraine, supply chain constraints, swings in commodity prices, and higher inflation and interest rates, have demanded swift responses and adjustment. There are aftershocks, uncertainty and risk, and still a need to adapt. Navigating turbulent times remains a key function of policy and business planning. Yet, given forces shaping the world of tomorrow, it matters even more how governments and businesses plan to invest, innovate and create the conditions for sustainable growth over the longer term. This Economic Outlook entitled Playing the Long Game reviews recent developments and short-term prospects, sets out a baseline scenario and risks to assist business planning and describes some of the context for the longer term and key tasks ahead for Canadian governments and firms.

Economic Outlook Playing the Long Game

Economic Outlook: Playing the Long Game

The purpose of this paper is to explore the way two fiscal anchors, the debt/GDP ratio and the interest cost revenue ratio, are likely to evolve over the decade ahead (2032-33) under five plausible economic scenarios and thus to assess the implications of these two anchors as a guide to sustainable fiscal policy actions. Our conclusion is that the fiscal plan as laid out in Budget 22 and the fall FES is unlikely to be sustainable over the decade ahead.

Assessing the Potential Risks to the Sustainability of the Government of Canadas Current Fiscal Plan

The Government of Canada's current fiscal plan may not tell the full story of the country's financial path.

Assessing the Potential Risks to the Sustainability of the Government of Canada's Current Fiscal Plan

We present the Bennett Jones Fall 2022 Economic Outlook in a time of a slowing global economy, war and global trade tensions. Interest rates?—and prices in general?—have seen hikes and as the world attempts to navigate towards a post-COVID future, uncertainty remains a major theme in economic rhetoric. 
 
Our actions now will shape the decade ahead? and there is opportunity for businesses to make the most of the current global landscape?—investing, investing, investing. In making the most of our situation, from the downsides of external factors to our privilege in resource accessibility, Canada can begin to close the gap between our current state and our tremendous upside potential.

Bennett Jones Fall 2022 Economic Outlook Managing Risk and Taking Action

Bennett Jones Fall 2022 Economic Outlook: Managing Risks and Taking Action

Alison G. FitzGerald

International Arbitration Lawyer

Partner

George W. H. Reid

International Trade, Investment and Public Procurement Lawyer at Bennett Jones Toronto

Sabrina A. Bandali

International Trade, Regulatory and Investment Lawyer

Canada has introduced a new round of retaliatory tariffs on $27.6 billion worth of US goods in response to the Trump administration's 50% tariffs on Canadian exports. The measures, effective September 8, 2026, include surtaxes ranging from 15% to 50% on a wide range of products, alongside remission programs and duty relief mechanisms for affected businesses.

Canadas Response to Trump Tariffs and Relief Measures

Canada's Response to Trump: Tariffs and Relief Measures

Simon Grant

Financial Services & Regulatory Lawyer

Partner 

Matthew Flynn

Technology Transaction Lawyer at Bennett Jones Toronto

Lucas Stevens-Hall

Corporate Lawyer at Bennett Jones Toronto

The Bank of Canada has published its first enforcement decisions under the Retail Payment Activities Act (RPAA), all involving unregistered payment service providers and $0 administrative monetary penalties. The decisions provide early insight into the Bank&rsquo;s enforcement approach and highlight the importance of registration, proactive remediation and ongoing RPAA compliance.

Bank Of Canada Publishes First RPAApaa Enforcement Decisions Against Payment Service Providers

Bank Of Canada Publishes First RPAA Enforcement Decisions Against Payment Service Providers

David Cassin

Employment Lawyer at Bennett Jones Toronto

Carl Cunningham

Management-side Employment Lawyer

Talia K. Bregman

Employment Services, National Practice Group Leader

After a series of conflicting decisions, the Court of Appeal for Ontario has clarified the enforceability of termination clauses in Ontario employment agreements through its recent decision in the dual appeals in Baker v Van Dolder&rsquo;s Home Team Inc. and Li v Wayfair Canada ULC.

At Any Time and for Any Reason is Here to Stay

Ontario Court of Appeal Restores Common Sense to Termination Clauses in Ontario Employment Agreements

"At Any Time" and "For Any Reason" is Here to Stay

Michelle F. Yung

Real Estate Lawyer at Bennett Jones Vancouver

Andrew L. Jeanrie

Real Estate & Municipal Law Lawyer | Development & Approvals

Nathalie Hunter Heighington

Associate at Bennett Jones Vancouver

Associate

Part II of this three-part series examines Build Canada Homes&rsquo; Investment Policy Framework, including its priorities, eligible housing projects and partnership models. It explores how project readiness, affordability, scale, modular construction and cross-sector collaboration may position commercial real estate proponents to participate in BCH initiatives.

Part II How Build Canada Homes

Part II How Build Canada Homes Works: Investment Framework, Eligibility and Partnerships

Kristopher R. Hanc

M&A and Capital Markets Lawyer

Christopher J. Doucet

Corporate & Mining Lawyer | M&A & Corporate Finance

Aidyn Bhatia

Lawyer at Bennett Jones Toronto

The Canadian Securities Administrators (CSA) has launched a broad consultation on modernizing the regulation of public companies, examining venture issuer status, financial reporting, resale restrictions, material change reporting and alignment with U.S. developments. The Consultation Paper includes a proposed qualified institutional purchaser exemption that could provide eligible reporting issuers with greater flexibility to raise capital without traditional resale hold periods. Stakeholders have until November 13, 2026, to submit comments.

CSA Publishes Sweeping Consultation on Modernizing the Regulation of Public Companies

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David Dodge and Richard Dion in National Post

From the Same Authors