Private equity continued to adapt to shifting market conditions in the third quarter of 2025 as emerging opportunities mixed with ongoing challenges. In Canada, there were more deals done in Q3 than the previous quarter. Globally, aggregate deal value increased year-over-year from US$762.3 billion to US$886.1 billion, according to Preqin data. Bright spots remain and industry executives at large firms have expressed optimism about what is ahead for dealmaking.
In this edition of Bennett Jones PE Briefing, we look at:
- navigating growth and complexity in private credit
- why Ontario is such an attractive jurisdiction for non-US flow-through vehicles
- drafting tips for earnouts
Private Credit: Navigating Growth and Complexity
Canada’s private credit market in 2025 is defined by scale, sophistication and strategic repositioning. Once a niche alternative, private credit has become a core allocation for institutional investors, buoyed by consistent performance and resilience in volatile conditions. According to Preqin, private credit strategies have delivered a 24.2 percent three-year return, outpacing traditional fixed income and reinforcing their role in diversified portfolios. A lighter touch by regulators is expected to keep the asset class growing, with Moody’s predicting US$2.9 trillion of AUM by 2028, up over US$1.0 trillion from 2024.
Manulife’s acquisition of Comvest Credit Partners for US$937.5 million highlights the growing appetite for mid-market lending platforms and the convergence between insurance capital and private credit. This move expands Manulife’s private credit AUM to US$18.4 billion and signals a broader trend: Canadian firms are increasingly looking south for scale, yield and origination capabilities.
Fundraising data from Preqin’s Private Debt Q2 2025 report shows a nuanced picture. While direct lending funds saw a dip in commitments, funds of funds gained traction—particularly among private wealth channels. This shift reflects a growing demand for diversified exposure and risk-managed access to private credit, especially as macroeconomic uncertainty lingers.
Structurally, deals are becoming more complex. Lenders are tightening covenants, incorporating payment-in-kind interest and demanding broader collateral packages. Infrastructure debt is gaining momentum, supported by low default rates and favorable regulatory treatment under frameworks like SFDR and Solvency II Infra. These dynamics are reshaping how deals are negotiated and how risk is distributed across capital stacks.
Emerging themes—such as AI-driven underwriting, ESG-linked loan terms and Bitcoin-backed financing—are introducing new layers of legal and regulatory scrutiny. Cross-border transactions, especially between Canada and the US, require careful navigation of jurisdictional nuances and evolving compliance standards.
As private credit continues to evolve, participants must stay agile. Whether launching a fund, expanding into new geographies, or structuring bespoke facilities, success increasingly depends on understanding not just the financial mechanics, but the strategic and regulatory context shaping the market.